Yesterday Barack Obama won the Wyoming caucuses. That surprised me, because Obama’s most solid demographic, black voters, are few in number there. However Obama has consistently outperformed Clinton in caucuses, because his grass roots organization, has excelled at getting his supporters to attend. Because there is no exit polling at caucuses, there are no demographics to report for this contest. From GOPerville, McConJob spent the week pandering to religious extremists, and Ron Paul polished his tinfoil hat as he announced his campaign is winding down.
The Democrats
The Wyoming Caucuses
Obama won by a margin of 61% to 38%.
The Delegates
| Pledged | Super | Total | Pledged | Super | Total | |
| Clinton | 1190 | 238 | 1428 | 47.3% | 54.5% | 48.3% |
| Obama | 1328 | 199 | 1527 | 52.7% | 45.5% | 51.7% |
| Total | 2518 | 437 | 2955 |
Overall, the Democrats will have 4049 delegates at their convention. Of those 3,253 will be pledged delegates and 796 will be super delegates. I oppose the inclusion of the super delegates, because they give roughly 20% of the power to nominate to party insiders. They include Senators, Representatives, Governors, DNC members, and other party hacks, and they are not bound to represent the will of the voters.
The Republicans
Looking Forward
The Mississippi primary is on Tuesday 3/11. According to USA Election Polls, Insider Advantage has Obama leading Clinton 46% – 40%, and ARG has Obama leading Clinton 58% – 34%.
After that, there are no further contests until Pennsylvania on 4/22.
At this point it’s virtually impossible for either candidate to lock-up the nomination before the convention.
Cross-posted from Politics Plus
